Analyst Dividend Forecasts and Their Usefulness to Investors
نویسندگان
چکیده
ABSTRACT In contrast to the disappearing dividends view prevalent in literature, we document extensive dividend payments by firms and significant variability within across 16 countries during 2000–2013. We predict that within-firm increases investor demand for forward-looking information, analysts respond producing informative forecasts. find analyst forecasts are available most dividend-paying more with higher of dividends. Analyst accurate than alternative proxies based on extrapolations past Finally, (1) incrementally useful investors beyond information other fundamentals, such as earnings cash flow forecasts, (2) help interpret quality, (3) associated investors' portfolio allocation decisions. Data Availability: from public sources cited text.
منابع مشابه
Analysts ’ Dividend Forecasts
The most relevant practical impediment to an application of the Markowitz portfolio selection approach is the problem of estimating return moments, in particular return expectations. We analyze the consequences of using return estimates implied by analysts’ dividend forecasts under the explicit notion of taxes and non-flat term structures of interest rates and achieve quite good performance res...
متن کاملRelative valuation and analyst target price forecasts
We document that within industry relative valuations implicit in analyst target prices do provide investors with valuable information although the implied absolute valuations themselves are much less informative. Importantly, our findings are not merely a small stock phenomenon but apply to the sample of S&P 500 stocks and do not rely on trading at the exact time of announcement. Using a large ...
متن کاملDo Investors Value Dividend-Smoothing Stocks Differently?
It is almost an article of faith that managers have a preference for smooth dividends. Yet, it is not clear if this reflects investors’ preferences. In this paper, we study whether investors indeed value dividend smoothing stocks differently by exploring the implications of dividend smoothing for firms’ stock prices and cost of capital. Using over 80 years of data, we find no robust relationshi...
متن کاملManagement Earnings Forecasts and Value of Analyst Forecast Revisions
Prior studies evaluate the relative importance of the sources of value that financial analysts bring to the market based on the price impact of forecast revisions over the event time. We find that management earnings forecasts influence the timing and precision of analyst forecasts. More importantly, evidence suggests that prior studies’ finding of weaker (stronger) stock-price responses to for...
متن کاملThe Earnings Term Structure of Analyst Forecasts and Return Anomalies∗
We construct term structures for expected earnings growth by indexing analyst forecasts according to their maturity. Growth stocks, large stocks, and past losers have relatively steep convex earnings term structures in comparison to value stocks, small stocks, and past winners respectively. These initial earnings term structures overestimate (underestimate) the expected earnings growth of growt...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Accounting Review
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1558-7967', '0001-4826']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/tar-2018-0518